Norwegian study shows – ME patients rarely return to work
What can wage development before and after a G93.3 diagnosis tell us about prognoses for myalgic encephalomyelitis?
A Norwegian study has shown that patients diagnosed with ME typically decline permanently in terms of their earning capabilities, as illustrated below by the drop in their average wage income over a period starting 9 years before diagnosis in 2016, until 9 years later in 2025. Less than 6% maintained an income of at least median wages after diagnosis.
Nine years before diagnosis, the men earned slightly less than their controls. Wages in the men’s groups then started falling sharply towards Y0 and continued falling in the first year after (Y1). They then fell more gradually towards Y9. The women’s average wages 9 years before diagnosis were slightly below their female controls. The wages fell more sharply between 2 years before and 1 year after diagnosis, where they stabilized at a low level.

Fig. 3. Comparing group average wages for men and women 18–67 years old, diagnosed with G93.3, from 9 years before until 9 years after diagnosis (N = 6249) using 2009–2018 data to simulate values for the control group (N = 2739).
Abstract
Prognoses for persons affected by myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME) are rarely studied systematically. Existing studies are often based on smaller samples with unclear inclusion and subjective outcome criteria, and few look at wages as indicators of illness trajectories. This article considers how ME affects the wages and dependency on public transfers of people affected over time, especially in the period when the welfare authorities investigate eligibility for disability pension. We matched Norwegian population register data on 8485 working-age individuals diagnosed with G93.3 (postviral fatigue syndrome) from 2009 to 2018 with wage and transfer data and compared male and female cases to control groups. The G93.3 population’s wages fell sharply from around 3 years before diagnosis to 1 year after and stabilized at a low level. Public transfers started increasing several years before diagnosis and stabilized at a high level after. Few of those making no or very low income around the time of the diagnosis resumed earning moderate wages, and only exceptional cases returned to wages corresponding to median wages.
The full study is available here: What can wage development before and after a G93.3 diagnosis tell us about prognoses for myalgic encephalomyelitis?
The study was featured in a news article, written in Norweigan but if you are lucky, Google will translate it for you! https://www.forskning.no/helse-samfunn-sykdommer/nesten-ingen-me-pasienter-kommer-tilbake-i-jobb/2464548

